As Nigeria’s political landscape shifts ahead of the 2027 elections, the newly formed opposition coalition—spearheaded by former Vice President Atiku Abubakar—has drawn significant attention, particularly over the role of Labour Party’s Peter Obi.
A Gathering of Political Heavyweights
The coalition, operating under the National Political Consultative Group (NPCG) North, has united prominent figures including Atiku, Obi, former Kaduna governor Nasir El-Rufai, ex-SGF Babachir Lawal, and former Attorney General Abubakar Malami. Also present were former Senate President Adolphus Wabara, Labour Party’s 2023 VP candidate Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed, and ex-Minister Aminu Wali.
The group is reportedly in talks to adopt a political platform, with the African Democratic Congress (ADC) emerging as a likely vehicle. ADC National Chairman Ralph Okey Nwosu confirmed ongoing discussions, stating a decision would be finalized within weeks.
Obi’s Ambiguous Stance
Despite his active participation in coalition meetings, Obi has publicly maintained loyalty to the Labour Party—for now. His recent remark that he would run under LP “for now” has fueled speculation about his long-term plans.
The Obidient Movement, Obi’s support base, remains firm in its stance. National Coordinator Tanko Yunusa emphasized that Obi’s involvement in the coalition does not signify an exit from LP. However, Labour Party officials have expressed frustration, with spokesman Obiorah Ifoh calling Obi’s dual engagement “confusing” and an “affront” to the party’s leadership.
Can the Coalition Challenge Tinubu?
Political analyst Katchy Ononuju, a former aide to Obi, believes the coalition could become a formidable force—if it avoids past pitfalls. He cited the PDP’s collapse due to zoning disputes and urged the coalition to rally behind a unifying candidate, suggesting Obi’s widespread appeal makes him a natural choice.
Ononuju warned that the Obidient Movement would reject any arrangement where Obi is relegated to a vice-presidential slot. “Obi’s followers will only back him as the presidential candidate,” he stated.
A Strategic Move or a Risky Gamble?
Legal analyst Maduabuchi Idam views Obi’s coalition involvement as a pragmatic strategy. He argued that without broader alliances, Obi’s chances in 2027 could diminish due to the ruling APC’s entrenched electoral machinery. “The coalition offers Obi a lifeline,” Idam noted, “but it risks alienating his core supporters.”
The Road Ahead
As negotiations continue, the coalition’s success hinges on reconciling competing ambitions and building trust among its diverse members. For Obi, the challenge is balancing loyalty to the Labour Party with the coalition’s potential to amplify his presidential bid.
With 2027 looming, Nigeria’s opposition faces a critical test: Can it unite to present a credible alternative, or will internal divisions hand President Tinubu another term unchallenged?
